EPA WIFIA’s Likely 20% Realized Loss Rate on Disbursed Loans, Coercive Deficiencies, etc.

Google-Gemini-on-EPA-WIFIA-Likely-20-pct-Realized-Loss-Rate-on-Disbursed-Loans_etc-02062026-InRecap

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A wide-ranging ‘discussion’ with Gemini. It started out with technical points about how to look at EPA WIFIA’s $2b loss (realized or unrealized — much more on that coming soon) but veered into broader issues of WIFIA reform. Interestingly, Gemini prompted some of this direction on its own and even sounded a bit polemic at times.

Usual caveats apply, particularly re the silicon ‘thinker’ confusing Fair Value discounting with FCRA budgeting.